Legislative Bulletin

May 18, 2001



State budget falls $736 million below target
April tax revenues were $156.3 million below budget, the State Controller’s said Tuesday in reporting figures that largely confirmed estimates that officials delivered two weeks ago to legislative budget writers. For the 10 months year-to-date the budget is $680.7 million below target, a figure that grows to $736.5 million when accounting for less-than-expected non-tax revenue. Most of the shortfall in predicted revenue is in individual income taxes, which accounts for $414.6 million of the red ink, and corporate income taxes, which are $153.5 million below target. See these and other figures in the two charts below. Although the figures look bleak, state tax collections actually are running 2 percent ahead of last year’s total. Individual income taxes are about $90 million more than at this point last fiscal year, and franchise taxes are more than $266 million ahead of where they were last year. Below are two charts showing the budget situation, one providing a quick overview of the figures and the second one offering a more detailed look at the numbers:

STATE GENERAL FUND COLLECTIONS (in millions)

 Revenue Source

April
2001

%Collected
vs. Budget

Collected
Y-T-D

Last
Y-T-D

%
Change

Individual Income

$   1,299.9

                -6

$   6,268.7

$      5,971.8

          +5

Corporate Income

         14.4

              -75

        336.7

          726.1

         -54

Sales and Use

       298.7

                -9

     2,869.4

        2,768.3

          +4

Franchise

         44.2

              -23

        547.9

          281.5

        +95

Insurance

         86.0

             +29

        225.4

          200.3

        +13

Beverage

         16.3

               +1

        144.1

          139.8

          +3

Inheritance

           6.4

              -50

         99.4

          145.8

         -32

Soft Drink

          —  

              —  

          —  

              1.3

       -100

License

           6.5

             +10

         15.3

            35.2

         -57

Tobacco Products

           3.6

               +3

         35.0

            36.0

           -3

Real Estate Excise

          (1.9)

              —  

           6.3

              6.7

           -6

Intangibles

          —  

              —  

          —  

             —  

        —  

Gift

         15.9

              -31

         19.1

            22.1

         -14

Other

           8.4

             +71

         43.4

            33.3

        +30

TOTAL

$   1,798.4

                -8

$ 10,610.7

$    10,368.2

          +2

 

 

April
Budget

April
Actual

Variance

Y-T-D
Budget

Y-T-D
Actual

Variance

Percent
Realized

Tax Revenue

Individual Income

$1,380.1

$1,299.9

$(80.2)

$6,683.3

$6,268.7

$(414.6)

93.8%

Corporate Income

       57.1

       14.4

      (42.7)

     490.2

     336.7

    (153.5)

68.7%

Sales and Use

     329.2

     298.7

      (30.5)

   2,997.7

   2,869.4

    (128.3)

95.7%

Franchise

       57.3

       44.2

      (13.1)

     497.5

     547.9

       50.4

110.1%

Insurance

       66.9

       86.0

       19.1

     211.5

     225.4

       13.9

106.6%

Beverage

       16.1

       16.3

         0.2

     144.8

     144.1

        (0.7)

99.5%

Inheritance

       12.7

         6.4

        (6.3)

     127.3

       99.4

      (27.9)

78.1%

Privilege License

         5.9

         6.5

         0.6

       35.7

       15.3

      (20.4)

42.9%

Tobacco Products

         3.5

         3.6

         0.1

       35.4

       35.0

        (0.4)

98.9%

Real Estate

        (1.9)

        (1.9)

        —   

         6.3

         6.3

        —  

100.0%

Intangibles

        —  

        —  

        —  

        —  

        —  

        —  

        —  

Gift

       22.9

       15.9

        (7.0)

       26.7

       19.1

        (7.6)

71.5%

White Goods

        (0.6)

        (0.6)

        —  

         0.4

         0.4

        —  

100.0%

Scrap Tire Disposal

        (1.4)

        (1.4)

        —  

         0.9

         0.9

        —  

100.0%

Freight Car Lines

        —  

         0.3

         0.3

        —  

         0.3

         0.3

        —  

Piped Natural Gas

         6.6

       10.4

         3.8

       33.4

       41.8

         8.4

125.1%

Other

         0.3

        (0.3)

        (0.6)

         0.3

        —  

        (0.3)

        —  

Total Tax Revenue

   1,954.7

   1,798.4

    (156.3)

 11,291.4

 10,610.7

    (680.7)

94.0%

Non-Tax Revenue

Treasurer's Investments

       17.9

       11.7

        (6.2)

     180.9

     144.3

      (36.6)

79.8%

Judicial Fees

         9.5

         9.0

        (0.5)

       93.8

       90.3

        (3.5)

96.3%

Insurance

         9.1

         5.9

        (3.2)

       33.7

       17.7

      (16.0)

52.5%

Disproportionate share

        —  

        —  

        —   

     109.1

     109.1

        —  

100.0%

Highway Fund Transfer

        —  

        —  

        —  

       10.2

       10.2

        —  

100.0%

Highway Trust Fund Transfer

        —  

        —  

        —  

     170.0

     170.0

        —  

100.0%

Other

       20.5

       31.4

       10.9

     180.7

     181.0

         0.3

100.2%

Miscellaneous

       20.5

       31.4

 

     180.7

     181.0

 

 

Total Non-Tax Revenue

       57.0

       58.0

         1.0

     778.4

     722.6

      (55.8)

92.8%

 

Total All Revenue

$2,011.7

$1,856.4

$(155.3)

$12,069.8

$11,333.3

$(736.5)

93.9%

 
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