Legislative Bulletin

December 12, 2001

Unemployment rates for the past 12 months

 

Oct.

Sep.

Aug.

July

June

May

Apr.

Mar.

Feb.

Jan.

Dec.

Nov.

N.C.

5.5

5.2

5.0

5.3

4.9

5.2

4.9

4.5

4.4

4.2

3.9

3.9

U.S.

5.4

4.9

4.9

4.5

4.5

4.4

4.5

4.3

4.2

4.2

4.0

4.0

Sales tax collections fall 
9% below last year's total

October sales tax collections fell 9.3 percent below last year's levels, according to State Budget Officer David McCoy, who said the decline is a sign that the state’s fiscal second quarter may be as bad as the first. McCoy said North Carolina collected $269.6 million in sales taxes in October, compared to $297.2 million in the same month last year. For the fiscal year to date, sales tax collections are down 1.9 percent, at $1.149 billion compared to $1.172 billion (see chart below).

The sales tax drop follows a 3 percent decline in overall state revenue for the first quarter against budget projections, or $155 million less than forecast. Overall collections, however, are 2 percent higher than actual collections at this point last fiscal year. State economists had projected 2 percent growth during that quarter.

Among the few bright spots in the budget are rising collections of corporate income taxes, which have amounted to $45.2 million in the fiscal year to date compared to $9.6 million in last year’s period.

North Carolina isn’t alone in continuing to see weak revenues. Analysts at the National Conference of State Legislatures said 44 states are reporting revenue levels below what they projected. At least 28 states are considering or have implemented budget cuts.

ESC delays seeking higher 
unemployment insurance taxes

The Employment Security Commission voted not to ask the General Assembly to increase unemployment insurance now but warned that rates could escalate – even double -- in a few months unless the economy improves. 

At a Nov. 29 meeting, commission members
noted that the state has paid out $830 million in unemployment benefits to laid-off workers over the past year while collecting just $332 million in unemployment insurance taxes from employers.

That has caused a sharp drop in the state’s Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund, which has faller to about $762 million. A level below $800 million in the fund is considered worrisome. 

The state paid out a record $95.3 million in jobless benefits in October. Commission members said they wanted to delay asking for higher unemployment insurance taxes on the hope that an anticipated federal economic stimulus package would quickly revive the economy.

State jobless rate surges 
to 5.5%, highest since 1993

North Carolina’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased in October to 5.5 percent, up from 5.2 percent in September, according to the state’s Employment Security Commission (ESC). Layoffs in service industry employment, including air transportation and hotels, mainly fueled the increase in unemployment, according to ESC Acting Chairman Thomas S. Whitaker. The last time the state’s jobless rate was this high was in January 1993. One year ago the N.C. unemployment rate was 3.8 percent.

Unemployment rates rose in 86 N.C. counties in October, fell in 10 counties and were unchanged in the remaining four. Robeson County had the state’s highest unemployment rate in October, at 12.5 percent. Watauga County had the lowest, at 1.6 percent. The county rates in this release are not seasonally adjusted.

The state paid out more than $95 million in unemployment insurance benefits in October, the highest amount ever paid in one month, up from the previous high of $88 million in July. This brings the total unemployment insurance benefits paid for the 2001 calendar year to $740.6 million, leaving a Trust Fund balance of $761.8 million.

The U.S. unemployment rate increased to 5.4 percent in October, up from 4.9 percent in September. North Carolina’s rate has been higher than the national rate since February 2001.

Manufacturers in North Carolina cut 2,200 jobs in October and a total of 48,900, or 6.3 percent of all manufacturing jobs in the state, in the past year. Losses in manufacturing  were in textiles, down 15,300 jobs; furniture and fixtures, down 6,100; and electronic equipment, down 5,800. However, overall employment in the state continues growing. In the year to date, employment has grown by 4,200 jobs, according to ESC figures.

The ESC continues to put people to work as quickly as possible. During October 2001, ESC listed 83,743 job openings and 10,862 placements. The average time a North Carolina worker collects unemployment benefits before returning to work is just 9.3 weeks, compared to a national average of 13.7 weeks. 

General Fund Actual Net Revenues
for October and Year to Date, dollars in millions


Tax Category

Oct.
'01-02

Oct.
'00-01

Pct.
Swing

Y-T-D
Total

Y-T-D
'00-01

Dollar
Swing

Pct. Swing

Individual Income

$506.6

$585.9

(13.5)%

$2,361.9

$2,196.7

$165.2

 7.5%

Corporate Income

9.5

(89.5)

 110.6%

45.2

9.6

35.6

370.8%

Sales and Use

269.6

297.2

(9.3)%

 1,149.6

1,171.9

(22.3)

(1.9)%

Franchise

76.8

148.9

(48.4)%

 157.4

 236.5

(79.1)

(33.4)%

Insurance

92.9

84.8

9.6%

96.2

87.1

9.1

10.4%

Natural Gas

2.3

3.7

 (37.8)%

 6.4

13.0

 (6.6)

 (50.8)%

Beverage

7.9

9.1

 (13.2)%

 54.5

53.8

0.7

1.3%

Inheritance

7.5

15.7

(52.2)%

33.8

43.2

(9.4)

(21.8)%

Privilege License

6.7

6.3

6.3%

18.7

19.1

 (0.4)

(2.1)%

Tobacco Prods.

3.2

3.4

 (5.9)%

13.6

14.4

 (0.8)

(5.6)%

Real Estate

(1.0)

(2.3)

56.5%

 8.7

 7.1

1.6

22.5%

Gift

0.8

1.1

(27.3)%

1.8

2.2

 (0.4)

(18.2)%

White Goods

(0.5)

 (0.9)

 0.4%

 0.9

 0.4

0.5

125.0%

Scrap Tire

 (1.3)

(1.8)

27.8%

1.8

1.1

 0.7

63.6%

Other

(0.1)

0.1

100.0%

 0.1

(0.1)

 0.2

 200.0%

Total Revenue

 $981.0

$1,061.5

(7.6)%

$3,950.6

$3,856.0

 $94.6

2.5%


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