Legislative Bulletin

December 12, 2001


For complete information on congressional redistricting, including detailed maps, go to: www.ncleg.net/gascripts/geography/proposed_plans.asp?PlanName=Congress_ZeroDeviation
For complete information on Senate redistricting, including detailed maps, go to:
www.ncleg.net/gascripts/geography/proposed_plans.asp?PlanName=NC_Senate_Plan_1C
For complete information on House redistricting, including detailed maps, go to:
www.ncleg.net/gascripts/geography/proposed_plans.asp?PlanName=Sutton_House_Plan_3


House redistricting plan shifts power to urban areas

Reflecting the surge in population in the state’s urban areas, the redistricting plan adopted by the House last month creates two additional districts in Wake County, giving it 10, and three in Mecklenburg County, giving it 13. The greater political power those and other urban areas gain under the new House map come at the expense of the state’s rural areas, mainly Down East, which will lose seats in the House.

Observers said the redistricting plan should help Democrats widen their current slim majority in the 120-member House from the 62 seats they now hold to 65 or perhaps 66. If could go much further toward solidifying the Democrats’ control of the chamber. An NCFREE analysis found that the new map increased the number of “safe Democratic” seats in the House from 25 to 38 and the number of “favor Democratic” House districts from 16 to 22. Similarly, the plan reduces the number of “safe Republican” districts from 31 to 24.

The plan reduces the number of two- and three-member House districts, thereby increasing the total number of districts from 98 to 112. A major criticism of the House redistricting plan is that it splits 70 counties into different districts, far more than now.

The House redistricting plan, hotly debated for more than a month, was rammed through the chamber by Speaker Jim Black after he struck a deal with five African-American Democrats and one dissident Republican. Their votes gave him a 63-57 majority and allowed the plan to pass over the strident objections of Minority Leader Leo Daughtry (R-Johnston).

The Republican Party promptly filed a lawsuit to block implementation of the plan. Of greater concern is that the new House map must now be reviewed and approved by the U.S. Justice Department to ensure it doesn’t dilute African-American voting strength. It will take the Justice Department from 60 to 120 days to complete that review, meaning a likely delay in the beginning of the candidate filing period next January and possibly the May primaries as well.

The five African-American Democrats demanded, and got, 15 districts where blacks are in the majority and three others where blacks make up 40 percent to 49 percent of the population. The current House has 14 minority-majority districts and six where the population is 40 percent to 49 percent African-American. Rep. Monroe Buchanan (R-Mitchell), who previously was booted out of the GOP Caucus for siding with Democrats on budget issues, was the only Republican to vote for the redistricting plan.

 
Senate Democrats look even stronger under redistricting plan
The already solid Democratic majority in the state Senate may get even stronger under the redistricting plan adopted in that chamber. According to an NCFREE analysis, the number of “safe Democrat” seats in Senate increases from 9 to 24 under the redistricting plan while the number of “safe GOP” seats rises from 12 to 14. The number of swing districts falls from 14 to five, according to the NCFREE analysis.
 
Like the House, the Senate redistricting plan shifts power from rural areas to the big cities, reflecting the cities’ gains in population. Wake County gains another Senate district and will have six senators from five districts.

Several charts detailing the demographic and political makeup of the redrawn congressional district as well as the new House and Senate districts are available at the General Assembly’s web site.

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